Saturday’s game that pits the No. 21 Memphis Tigers (9-2) against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-1) at FedExForum should be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 77-76 in favor of Memphis. Game time is at 12:30 PM ET on December 21.

According to our computer prediction, Memphis projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup against Mississippi State. The over/under is currently listed at 150.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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Mississippi State vs. Memphis Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 21, 2024
• Time: 12:30 PM ET
• TV: CBS
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Live stream: Watch this game on Paramount+ (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Memphis, Tennessee
• Venue: FedExForum
• Line: Mississippi State -1.5
• Point total: 150.5
• Moneyline (to win): Mississippi State -125, Memphis +104

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Mississippi State vs. Memphis Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Memphis 77, Mississippi State 76

Spread & Total Prediction for Mississippi State vs. Memphis

• Pick ATS: Memphis (+1.5)
• Pick OU: Over (150.5)

Mississippi State has compiled a 6-5-0 record against the spread this season, while Memphis is 7-4-0. The Bulldogs have a 6-5-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Tigers have a record of 7-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams average 163.6 points per game, 13.1 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs have a +180 scoring differential, topping opponents by 16.4 points per game. They’re putting up 84.1 points per game to rank 37th in college basketball and are allowing 67.7 per outing to rank 97th in college basketball.
• Mississippi State wins the rebound battle by 5.3 boards on average. It records 37.0 rebounds per game, which ranks 32nd in college basketball, while its opponents grab 31.7 per outing.
• Mississippi State connects on 9.0 three-pointers per game (89th in college basketball) at a 34.1% rate (164th in college basketball), compared to the 8.2 its opponents make while shooting 36.3% from deep.
• The Bulldogs rank 26th in college basketball by averaging 106.0 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 70th in college basketball, allowing 85.3 points per 100 possessions.
• Mississippi State has come up on top in the turnover battle by 4.9 turnovers per game, committing 8.6 (third in college basketball action) while forcing 13.5 (85th in college basketball).

Memphis Performance Insights

• The Tigers have a +42 scoring differential, topping opponents by 3.8 points per game. They’re putting up 79.5 points per game, 96th in college basketball, and are giving up 75.7 per outing to rank 288th in college basketball.
• The 32.3 rebounds per game Memphis accumulates rank 229th in the country, 1.5 more than the 30.8 its opponents record.
• Memphis connects on 8.2 three-pointers per game (155th in college basketball) at a 41.9% rate (second-best in college basketball), compared to the 9.5 per contest its opponents make, shooting 35.7% from beyond the arc.
• Memphis and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Tigers commit 13.5 per game (317th in college basketball) and force 12.7 (143rd in college basketball).

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