Saturday’s contest at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss has the No. 19 Ole Miss Rebels (19-6, 8-4 SEC) matching up with the No. 22 Mississippi State Bulldogs (17-7, 5-6 SEC) at 6:00 PM ET on February 15. Our computer prediction projects a 78-71 win for Ole Miss, who are favored by our model.

According to our computer prediction, Ole Miss projects to cover the 4.5-point spread in its matchup against Mississippi State. The over/under has been set at 146.5, and the two teams are projected to hit the over.

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Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 15, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN2
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Oxford, Mississippi
• Venue: The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss
• Line: Ole Miss -4.5
• Point total: 146.5
• Moneyline (to win): Ole Miss -192, Mississippi State +158

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Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Ole Miss 78, Mississippi State 71

Spread & Total Prediction for Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Ole Miss (-4.5)
• Pick OU: Over (146.5)

Ole Miss is 14-11-0 against the spread, while Mississippi State’s ATS record this season is 10-14-0. The Rebels are 11-14-0 and the Bulldogs are 13-11-0 in terms of going over the point total. The teams score 157.4 points per game, 10.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Ole Miss is 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall over its past 10 games, while Mississippi State has gone 2-8 against the spread and 4-6 overall.

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Ole Miss Performance Insights

• The Rebels outscore opponents by 9.7 points per game (scoring 78.1 points per game to rank 84th in college basketball while allowing 68.4 per outing to rank 78th in college basketball) and have a +241 scoring differential overall.
• Ole Miss pulls down 30.4 rebounds per game (284th in college basketball) while conceding 33.2 per outing to its opponents. It is outrebounded by 2.8 boards per game.
• Ole Miss knocks down 1.2 more threes per contest than the opposition, 8.8 (79th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.6.
• The Rebels’ 100.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 66th in college basketball, and the 88.2 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 70th in college basketball.
• Ole Miss has won the turnover battle by 5.7 turnovers per game, committing 8.4 (first in college basketball play) while forcing 14.1 (29th in college basketball).

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs’ +180 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.5 points per game) is a result of putting up 79.3 points per game (61st in college basketball) while allowing 71.8 per contest (187th in college basketball).
• The 35.7 rebounds per game Mississippi State accumulates rank 28th in college basketball, 3.5 more than the 32.2 its opponents grab.
• Mississippi State makes 8.3 three-pointers per game (119th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 9.0 on average.
• Mississippi State has committed 2.8 fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging 10.1 (66th in college basketball) while forcing 12.9 (70th in college basketball).

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